WTCN31 CWHX 290555 CANADIAN HURRICANE INFORMATION STATEMENT ISSUED BY THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTRE OF ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 3.00 AM ADT MONDAY 29 SEPTEMBER 2003. THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY 9.00 AM ADT AT 3.00 AM ADT... HURRICANE JUAN HAS MOVED OVER THE LAND AND HAS BEEN DOWNGRADED TO POST TROPICAL STORM CATEGORY. IT WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 46.1 N AND LONGITUDE 63.0 W... NEAR CHARLOTTETOWN PRINCE EDWARD. THE STORM IS MOVING TOWARDS THE NORTH AT 35 KNOTS... 65 KM/H THE STORM WILL CONTINUE TO ACCELERATE AS IT WEAKENS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS ...102 KM/H WITH HIGHER GUSTS AND CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 992 MB. DATE TIME LAT LON MSLP MAX WIND ADT MB KTS KMH SEP 29 3.00 AM 46.1N 63.0W 995 55 102 POST-TROPICAL SEP 29 9.00 AM 50.0N 62.0W 1000 50 93 POST-TROPICAL SEP 29 3.00 PM 54.0N 60.6W 1002 45 83 POST-TROPICAL SEP 29 9.00 PM 58.4N 58.7W 1003 43 80 POST-TROPICAL SEP 30 3.00 AM 62.6N 55.9W 1004 40 74 POST-TROPICAL SEP 30 9.00 AM ABSORBED IN THE FLOW 3. PUBLIC WEATHER IMPACTS AND WARNINGS SUMMARY DURING LANDFALL JUST SOUTH OF HALIFAX HEAVY RAIN WAS REPORTED AT SHEARWATER AND HALIFAX INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT WITH WINDS GUSTING TO 143 KM/H. HEAVY RAINFALL IN THE RANGE OF 30 TO 60 MM IS EXPECTED AHEAD OF THE STORM BUT WILL WILL TAPERE OFF THEN END BEHIND IT. HEAVY RAINFALL WARNINGS WARNINGS ARE MAINTAINED FOR EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN NEW BRUNSWICK PEI AND NORTHERN NOVA SCOTIA FOR THE EARLY PART OF THE MORNING. WIND WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR NORTHERN NOVA SCOTIA AND FOR PEI.. THE MAGDELAN ISLANDS AND SOUTHEASTERN SECTIONS OF NEW BRUNSWICK...WHERE SOMEWHAT LIGHTER WINDS ARE FORECAST. LES SUETES WINDS GUSTING TO 150 KM/H ARE FORECAST OVER THE WESTERN CAPE BRETON HIGHLANDS THIS MORNING. NO SIGNIFICANT INLAND WEATHER EFFECTS ARE EXPECTED FOR NEWFOUNDLAND APART FROM WRECKHOUSE WINDS IN EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN SECTIONS. SEE PUBLIC FORECASTS FOR DETAILS. THE HIGH WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO CAUSE TOPPLING OF SOME TREES AND THE DOWNING OF LARGE LIMBS RESULTING IN POWER OUTAGES. LOCAL FLOODING DUE TO HEAVY RAINS CAN BE EXPECTED. A SURGE OF THE COASTAL WATER WAS REPORTED IN HALIFAX HARBOUR DURING LANDFALL BUT CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO IMPROVE. HOWEVER STRONG SWELL WILL CONTINUE TO BATTLE THE ATLANTIC OF NOVA SCOTIA BEFORE SUBSIDING LATER THIS MORNING. 4. MARINE WEATHER IMPACTS AND WARNINGS SUMMARY STORM FORCE WIND AHEAD OF THE STORM ARE FORECAST TO DIMINISH TO GALE FORCE BEHIND IT. SEE MARINE FORECASTS FOR DETAILS. VERY LARGE WAVES AND POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS POUNDING SURF ARE EXPECTED THIS MORNING PARTICULARLY FROM THE SAMBRO PENINSULA TO SHEET HARBOUR LEADING TO SOME COASTAL DAMAGE AND EROSION. 5. TECHNICAL DISCUSSION A. ANALYSIS THE CENTRE OF THE STORM IS LOCATED NEAR CHARLOTTETOWN. B. PROGNOSTIC THE STORM WILL TRACK NORTHWARD DURING THE DAY. IT WILL CONTINUE TO ACCELERATE AS IT WEAKENS. THE STORM IS DRIVEN BY AN INCREASING SOUTHERLY FLOW DUE TO AN APPROACHING UPPER TROUGH FROM THE WEST. C. MARINE WEATHER PREDICTED WIND RADII (NM) TIME GALES STORMS HURRICANE NE SE SW NW NE SE SW NW NE SE SW NW 29/06Z 250 200 100 135 100 75 30 60 0 0 0 0 29/12Z 260 225 100 135 60 50 20 30 0 0 0 0 29/18Z 275 225 100 135 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 30/00Z 285 260 100 140 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 30/06Z 300 300 100 150 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 30/12Z ABSORBED IN THE FLOW PUBLIC AND MARINE INTERESTS ARE ADVISED TO MONITOR FORECASTS AND WARNINGS ISSUED FOR THEIR REGION BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA. END ROUSSEL/STEEVES