LEVELnews

Great Lakes - St. Lawrence River Water Levels
Volume 19, Number 10

13 October 2011

Water Supply Conditions Vary by Basin Location

In September, water supplies to the basins of lakes Superior and Michigan–Huron were below average for the second consecutive month, while local supplies to the Lake Ontario and Lake Erie basins were above average.

Although outflows from Lake Superior were below average in September, the below-average supplies it received caused the water level of Lake Superior to decline by 3 cm this September, compared to its average September decline of 1 cm. Similarly, the level of Lakes Michigan–Huron declined by 9 cm this past month, which is 3 cm more than its average 6 cm September decline.

The above-average water supply received by Lake Erie during September helped stall its seasonal decline. Lake Erie’s level declined by only 2 cm during September, which is much less than its average decline of 9 cm for the month. For Lake Ontario the above-average supplies it received during September were more than offset by its above-average outflows during the month. As a result, Lake Ontario’s level fell by 16 cm last month, compared to its average September decline of 13 cm.

Great Lakes Water Level Information
 September 2011 Monthly Mean LevelBeginning-of-October 2011 Level
 LakeCompared to
Monthly Average
(1918
2010)
Compared to
One Year Ago
Compared to
Beginning-of-Month
Average
(1918
2010)
Compared to
One Year Ago
 Superior31 cm below 1 cm above30 cm below 1 cm below
 MichiganHuron38 cm below 3 cm below37 cm below 4 cm below
 St. ClairSame16 cm above 6 cm above14 cm above
 Erie14 cm above28 cm above19 cm above31 cm above
 Ontario 2 cm above 4 cm above 2 cm above 6 cm above

As indicated by the beginning-of-October differences provided in the water level information table, the levels of lakes Superior and Michigan–Huron remain below their respective averages for the 1918–2010 period of record. In comparison, the levels of lakes St. Clair, Erie and Ontario are above their averages. The level of Lake Superior began October just 1 cm lower than it was at the same time last year, while the level of Lakes Michigan–Huron was 4 cm lower than it was one year ago. The levels of the other lakes began October higher than they were a year ago. Since 1918, there have been only five years with a lower beginning-of-October level on Lake Superior. Lakes Michigan–Huron’s beginning-of-October level has been lower than this year’s 20 times since 1918. In contrast, the Lake Erie level at the beginning of October has only been higher 26 times since 1918.

Six-Month Forecast

With average water supply conditions, the levels of each of the Great Lakes and Lake St. Clair are expected to fall during October as they continue their annual seasonal declines.

For a graphical representation of recent and forecasted water levels on each of the Great Lakes and on Lake St. Clair, compared to their 1918–2010 period-of-record monthly average and the extreme levels, please refer to the September 2011 edition of the Canadian Hydrographic Service’s monthly water levels bulletin.

Storm Season Reminder

Autumn often brings storms that pack high winds to the Great Lakes region. Watching large waves crash against the shore can be an awe-inspiring sight, but it is important to stand well back from the water’s edge during a storm. Otherwise, there is a risk of being swept into the lake by a storm-generated wave.

September Precipitation over the Great Lakes*
Great Lakes Basin112%Lake Erie188%
Lake Superior88%(including Lake St. Clair)
Lakes Michigan-Huron 107%Lake Ontario107%
September Outflows from the Great Lakes*
Lake Superior71%Lake Erie101%
Lake Huron90%Lake Ontario107%

*As a percentage of the long-term September average.
NOTE: These figures are preliminary.

FOR MORE INFORMATION:

Chuck Southam (Editor)
Boundary Water Issues Unit
MSC – Operations Ontario
Environment Canada
P.O. Box 5050
Burlington ON  L7R 4A6
Tel.: 905-336-4955
Fax: 905-336-8901
Email: water.levels@ec.gc.ca

David Fay
Great Lakes–St. Lawrence
Regulation Office
MSC – Operations Ontario
Environment Canada
111 Water Street East
Cornwall ON  K6H 6S2
Tel.: 613-938-5725

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